The Eagles are rightfully underdogs against the Chiefs on Sunday. Kansas City is the better team, and they have the advantages of being at home with a few extra days of rest and preparation. But this is the NFL, where upsets happen. And there are a few reasons why the Eagles could pull it off.
Kansas City’s play against New England is not sustainable
The Chiefs win last Thursday was only the second blown 8+ point lead by the Patriots at home since 2001, the other being the Eagles upset win in 2015, and we all know that game was a fluke. This game was a sum greater than its parts: they lost the turnover battle (though it was just 1-0); came from behind having trailed 17-7 midway through the 2nd quarter; they committed 15 penalties for 139 to New England’s 6 for 55; got most of their yardage in big chunks, with over half of Kareem Hunt and Tyreek Hill’s total yardage coming on 3 plays; and were poor on 3rd down, converting on just 36% of attempts. Individually, none of those are restrictive or unusual. But combined, they shouldn’t add up to a win, and they aren’t sustainable.
In some ways, that actually benefits the Chiefs. They should improve on third down and commit fewer penalties. But they won’t be winning week in a week out with multiple 50+ yard scores. And Alex Smith is not going to play out his mind every game.
Alex Smith’s play is also not sustainable… except where it is
Smith had a great game last Thursday against the Patriots. A great game. Four touchdowns, no turnovers, 368 yards, 80% completion percentage. It’s almost certain he will not be repeating that on Sunday. It was one of the…
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