Matt Ryan was my favorite sleeper quarterback heading into 2016, and he still managed to far exceed what I thought was possible. Ryan set career highs in yards, touchdowns, TD rate, Y/A, rating, and QBR. He did this while throwing only 534 passes. It was remarkable, really.
Which helps explain why everyone loves Ryan as a top-five quarterback this year. But, the situation remains: Many didn’t think he was worthy of top-12 consideration before 2016. One year changes the collective opinion that much?
It shouldn’t. I had Ryan as a low-end No. 1 before last season and that’s about where I have him now. He’s very likely going regress in both touchdowns and yards per attempt, but he should still be a solid starter. Unfortunately, his cost on Draft Day will be too high for low-end No. 1 production.
What about the rest of the Falcons?
*Rankings expressed below are in terms of expected Fantasy points. This is a part of our actual Fantasy Football rankings but not a direct correlation to my rankings. Things like injury risk, upside, etc. factor into rankings but they’re not being talked about here. This is simply an expectation as the team is currently constructed.
Breaking down the touches
Everything gets a little dicey with Steve Sarkisian replacing Kyle Shanahan as offensive coordinator. We can look at what this team did in the past, but I’m not sure exactly how much we can take out of it.
The Falcons ran the ball almost exactly the same number of times in 2016 as they had in 2015. They threw the ball almost 90 fewer times. The move to a…
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