I understand why Giants fans would be excited about their offense. They added Brandon Marshall, an obvious upgrade over Victor Cruz. They drafted Evan Engram, who may very well be the best pass catching tight end they’ve had since Jeremy Shockey. Paul Perkins and Sterling Shepard should be improved players.
Giants fans have every reason to expect an improved offense. I’m just not sure I’m digging it for Fantasy.
Brandon Marshall is a 33 year old coming off an absolutely awful 2016 season. Engram is a rookie tight end, and we know how that usually turns out. Shepard’s Fantasy production in 2016 was inflated by a touchdown rate that’s unlikely to be repeated. With all of these pieces it seems likely at least one of them is going to disappoint. Let’s start with the expectations:
*Rankings expressed below are in terms of expected Fantasy points. This is a part of our actual Fantasy Football rankings but not a direct correlation to my rankings. Things like injury risk, upside, etc. factor into rankings but they’re not being talked about here. This is simply an expectation as the team is currently constructed.
Breaking down the touches
The Giants have been pass-happy the past three seasons, averaging 609 pass attempts per season to just 417 rush attempts. With all of these new weapons in the passing game, that is not a trend I expect to reverse itself. What’s more interesting will be how those 600 targets are distributed.
The Giants have thrown right at 20 percent of their passes to running backs the past two seasons, but tight end…
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